"Initial Favoritism: 49ers Slightly Leading in Super Bowl Against Chiefs with Line Decline"
If this trend continues,
quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will be underdogs for the third
consecutive game. Despite entering the playoffs with odds at 10-1 to win the
Super Bowl, the Chiefs, led by Mahomes, managed to upset the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore
Ravens, earning their fourth Super Bowl appearance in the past five seasons.
The 49ers, as the top seed
in the NFC, were initially favored to win the Super Bowl when the playoffs
began. However, they faced tough challenges in back-to-back games against the
Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions. Against the Lions, the Niners found
themselves trailing 24-7 in the first half and were considered around 5-1
underdogs for a comeback. Despite this, San Francisco rallied behind
quarterback Brock Purdy, securing a 34-31 victory. The betting public incurred
losses due to the popularity of bets on the underdog Lions, particularly on the
money line.
Caesars Sportsbook had
anticipated a potential Super Bowl matchup between the 49ers and Chiefs, with
the former listed as 3-point favorites. Adam Pullen, assistant director of
trading for Caesars Sportsbook, noted the Niners' close wins at home and the
strong performance of the Chiefs' defense, leading to a slightly lower point
spread.
The money line for San Francisco opened at -130, and the over/under total was set at 47.5. While the favorite has historically won the majority of Super Bowls, underdogs have a close record against the spread. Out of 57 Super Bowls, favorites have won 36, and underdogs have covered the spread 28 times, with two pushes. The game's total has seen 28 unders, 27 overs, and one push, with no recorded over/under total in the first Super Bowl.
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